Saturday, March 13, 2010


I think SPY will hit 116.3-117.0 early next week (upper channel resistance) and close at 115 (Lower channel support, 50 SMA and also the Jan highs) on Friday. I closed my IWM 66/64 put spreads early this week for a small loss. I will enter SPY Mar 117/115 put spreads at 116.3--117.00

The New Moon on Mar 15th-16th could mark an interim top.


Monday, March 8, 2010


I still believe 115.50 max followed by a pullback to 112.50-113.00 by Mar 15th.

Bollinger Bands are tightening on 15 min and 30 min time frame. A big move is coming............


Friday, March 5, 2010


RUT: Has retraced 61.8% of the move from 2007 highs to Mar 2009 lows. The SPX low on FRIDAY Mar 6th 2009 was 666.79 and the RUT high on FRIDAY Mar 6th 2010 was 666.02 !!!

My thoughts on SPY for next week:

1. Scenario #1: We could hit 115.00-115.50 early next week and then drop to 112.5-112.8 by end of next week. The lower trend line is the key.

2. Scenario #2: We could drop to 112 early next week and then rally to 115 area.

BOTTOM LINE: I think we will see 112.00-112.5 next week.

NEW MOON on Mar 15th could either mark a high or low of some sort.

I am 30% short via IWM Mar 66/64 put spread at 0.52